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Days from launch to first price cut

Labs cut prices faster than they used to. Mid-tier models get discounted within a quarter; flagships hold longer.

Last updated · Illustrative data

Days to first price cut

Each dot is a model; grouped by lab

Illustrative data

Dot plot of days from model launch to first list-price cut, grouped by lab.

0d50d100d150d200d250dOpenAIGPT-4: 237 days (2023-03-14 → 2023-11-06)GPT-4 Turbo: 189 days (2023-11-06 → 2024-05-13)GPT-4o: 85 days (2024-05-13 → 2024-08-06)GPT-4o mini: 176 days (2024-07-18 → 2025-01-10)AnthropicClaude 3 Opus: 108 days (2024-03-04 → 2024-06-20)Claude 3 Sonnet: 108 days (2024-03-04 → 2024-06-20)Claude 3.5 Sonnet: 249 days (2024-06-20 → 2025-02-24)Claude 3 Haiku: 223 days (2024-03-13 → 2024-10-22)GoogleGemini 1.5 Pro: 89 days (2024-02-15 → 2024-05-14)Gemini 1.5 Flash: 133 days (2024-05-14 → 2024-09-24)Gemini 2.0 Flash: 80 days (2024-12-11 → 2025-03-01)xAIGrok-1: 138 days (2024-03-29 → 2024-08-14)Grok-2: 171 days (2024-08-14 → 2025-02-01)

Sources: Lab pricing pages (archives)

Methodology & sources

Illustrative days from public API launch to first list-price reduction for that model id. Models never cut show as open-ended and are omitted.

Text summary: Dot plot of days between model launch and first list-price cut, grouped by lab. Download CSV as a data fallback.

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Data API: /api/charts/time-to-price-cut · /api/charts/time-to-price-cut.json · /api/charts/time-to-price-cut.csv